What the trials counted as intolerance
We set out the questions that distinguish a symptom to manage from a dose to change.
TheCompound Journal
Reporting on incretins, compounding & the peptide supply chain
Pharmacology
The glucagon arm raises energy expenditure and also raises hepatic glucose output. Balancing those is the whole engineering problem.
The words matter here, and the coverage routinely gets them wrong. A dual agonist is a single molecule with meaningful activity at two receptors. A co-formulation is two molecules delivered together. A combination therapy is two products prescribed alongside each other. These have different pharmacokinetics, different dose-ranging problems, different regulatory pathways and different failure modes, and using the terms interchangeably makes the literature unreadable.
Three quantities are routinely conflated in discussions of this class. Affinity is how tightly a ligand binds, usually reported as a dissociation constant. Potency is the concentration producing half-maximal response, reported as an EC50. Efficacy is the maximal response achievable, reported relative to a reference agonist. A molecule can be more potent and less efficacious than another, and a molecule can bind a second receptor with high affinity and produce almost no response there.
Selectivity is the ratio of activities across receptors, and it is where the current pipeline diverges most sharply. Reported GIP-to-GLP-1 activity ratios for dual agonists vary by more than an order of magnitude between molecules; glucagon receptor arms in triple agonists vary similarly. Those ratios are properties of the sequence and they are not adjustable by dose. Two molecules with different ratios are different drugs at every dose, which is the reason head-to-head trials cannot be replaced by cross-trial comparison.1
Three explanations are current for the additional effect of GIP receptor agonism, and they are not mutually exclusive. The first is that GIP receptor activation in adipose tissue improves lipid handling and insulin sensitivity, permitting greater fat mobilisation at a given level of energy deficit. The second is central: GIP receptors are expressed in hypothalamic and hindbrain regions, and GIP receptor agonism may reduce nausea signalling, allowing higher GLP-1 receptor engagement to be tolerated. The third is that chronic GIP receptor agonism produces functional desensitisation that resembles antagonism, which would reconcile the apparently contradictory finding that both GIP agonists and GIP antagonists reduce body weight in preclinical work.
The second explanation is the most consequential if true, because it would mean the dual agonist’s advantage is partly a tolerability advantage rather than a distinct metabolic one — a difference that matters for how the drugs should be compared.2
A drug is not a dose. It is a pattern of signalling across tissues, and the pattern is a property of the sequence.
On why cross-molecule comparison needs head-to-head dataGlucagon receptor agonism increases resting energy expenditure and promotes hepatic fat oxidation. It also stimulates hepatic glucose production, which in a person with impaired glycaemic control is the opposite of what is wanted. A triple agonist therefore has to be balanced so that the GLP-1 arm’s insulinotropic and glucose-lowering effects exceed the glucagon arm’s glucose-raising effect at every therapeutic concentration.
That balance is set by the sequence, not the dose, which is why glucagon-containing agonists have historically failed in development for glycaemic reasons rather than efficacy ones, and why the ratio is the number to look for in any new molecule’s pharmacology package. Reported phase 2 glycaemic data for the current triple agonists suggests the balance has been achieved; the phase 3 programmes will establish whether it holds across a broader population.3
| Half-life | Accumulation ratio | 90% of steady state | 97% of steady state |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days | 1.35 | 10 days | 15 days |
| 5 days | 1.66 | 17 days | 25 days |
| 7 days | 2.00 | 23 days | 35 days |
| 9 days | 2.33 | 30 days | 45 days |
| Calculated for first-order elimination and a 7-day dosing interval. Illustrative; not a dosing instruction. | |||
Cagrilintide is not a GLP-1 receptor agonist and it is repeatedly described as one. It is a long-acting analogue of amylin, a 37-residue peptide co-secreted with insulin from the beta cell, acting at calcitonin and amylin receptor complexes. Its effects — slowed gastric emptying, reduced food intake, satiety signalling through the area postrema — overlap substantially with GLP-1 receptor agonism, which is why the confusion persists and why the co-formulation with semaglutide is pharmacologically interesting rather than redundant.
Two mechanisms converging on the same behavioural endpoint through different receptors is the argument for combining them: the ceiling of each is set by its own receptor-mediated adverse effects, and two half-doses at different receptors may sit below both ceilings. Whether that argument survives phase 3 is an empirical question.
An orally bioavailable small molecule that activates a class B GPCR was, for a long time, considered close to impossible. The current crop of non-peptide GLP-1 receptor agonists achieves it by binding a site that overlaps only partially with the peptide binding pocket, stabilising an active conformation without the two-domain capture mechanism.
Pharmacologically this matters for three reasons. Absorption does not depend on a permeation enhancer, so bioavailability is far less variable and far less dependent on fasting state than oral semaglutide’s. Elimination is hepatic rather than largely renal and proteolytic, which changes the interaction profile. And potency at the receptor is achieved without a fatty-acid albumin depot, so the concentration-time profile looks like a conventional small molecule rather than a peptide. None of this predicts efficacy; all of it predicts a different practical drug.
Agonist: a ligand that binds a receptor and produces a response. Full agonist: one producing the maximal response the system permits. Partial agonist: one producing less than maximal response even at full occupancy. Analogue: a molecule structurally derived from a natural ligand. Mimetic: a molecule reproducing a natural ligand’s effect without structural derivation.
Orthosteric site: the binding site the natural ligand occupies. Allosteric site: a distinct site whose occupancy modulates activity at the orthosteric one. Biased agonism: preferential activation of one downstream pathway over another. Tachyphylaxis: diminishing response to repeated administration. Steady state: the condition in which the rate of drug entering the body equals the rate leaving it.
Precision here is not pedantry. Several of the arguments this publication receives by post turn out, on inspection, to be disagreements about which of these words the writer meant.
Three things, on the Journal’s assessment. First, the demonstration that a dual agonist could produce weight reduction approaching bariatric-surgical magnitude moved the field’s expectations, and with them the design of every subsequent programme. Second, the cardiovascular and renal outcome results reframed the class from metabolic-cosmetic to cardiometabolic, which changed reimbursement arguments far more than it changed prescribing.
Third, and least remarked, the pharmacology of oral administration became tractable. That is a manufacturing and access story as much as a scientific one: an oral small molecule has a completely different cost structure, cold-chain requirement and supply profile from an injectable peptide, and if it holds up in phase 3 it will do more to change who can get treated than any of the receptor science described above.
What remains genuinely open is the variance. Mean effects in this class are among the best-characterised in modern pharmacology, and individual response remains unpredictable in a way that no receptor-level account currently explains. Until that changes, the most defensible thing anybody can say about an individual starting treatment is that the average is well known and their own result is not.
Selected from correspondence received on this article. Writers are identified by initial, surname and city, verified before printing. Replies are from the desk that filed the piece or from the standards editor. Write to letters@compoundjournal.com.
You describe biased agonism as "legitimate and probably important" and then decline to say which molecules are biased in which direction. That is a strange place to stop.
— T. Blakemore, Hull
It is, and it is deliberate. The published bias factors for these ligands are measured in different systems and are not comparable to one another. We would rather stop than publish a ranking that the underlying assays cannot support.
I found the section on the area postrema genuinely clarifying. I had assumed nausea was a stomach problem and had been treating it as one, unsuccessfully, for four months.
— M. Guðmundsdóttir, Reykjavík
We set out the questions that distinguish a symptom to manage from a dose to change.
The trials measured mass. Nobody measured whether the participants got weaker.
Concentrations fall by half a week, so a month away leaves a small fraction of steady state. Resuming at the previous dose presents the receptor with a step it has not seen…
The most dangerous errors are the ones that leave no trace: nothing looks wrong, the mark is in the same place, and the dose is wrong by an order of magnitude.
The clinical effect profile is almost fully predictable from where the receptor is expressed, which is unusual and useful.
We set out the questions that distinguish a symptom to manage from a dose to change.